The term "existential threat" gets used quite broadly, and I think it's often used when it's not really appropriate. This is a typology of how I think about four different types of "existential" threa…
I've always said my crystal ball broke sometime in my late teens or early twenties. But right now, that feels more true than usual. The emergence of AI has me genuinely uncertain about what comes next…
I'm preoccupied with existential risks — not because I think a catastrophe is likely, but because it's possible, and the stakes are everything. Toby Ord puts the odds at 1 in 6 this century. That's un…