I'm preoccupied with existential risks — not because I think a catastrophe is likely, but because it's possible, and the stakes are everything. Toby Ord puts the odds at 1 in 6 this century. That's un…
The future is uncertain, but plenty within it isn't really. Community transmission of COVID, a market downturn, dying at some point — these are when-not-if events, not if-they-happen events. Much of g…
COVID-19 had me questioning a lot of things, including my long-standing devotion to index-based investing. In retrospect it felt like I could have picked the crash — so could I have? Probably not. The…